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Wednesday, May 07, 2008

  • And the Impasse Goes Marching On...



    On Tuesday, May 6th, North Carolina and Indiana went to the polls. As of Tuesday morning many observers were anticipating a narrow win by Obama in North Carolina with a decisive win by Clinton in Indiana. Instead the opposite occurred. Obama won North Carolina with a lead of 14 percent (56-42 percent). With 99 percent of precincts reporting, it appears that Clinton narrowly won Indiana by 2 percent (51-49 percent).

    Tuesday’s results effectively end Clinton’s chances at obtaining the Democratic nomination. To gain the lead now, she would have to obtain 70 percent of the delegates in the remaining primaries of West Virginia, Kentucky, Oregon, South Dakota, Montana, and Puerto Rico. It is anticipated that Clinton will at least win West Virginia and Kentucky. Clinton would also have to obtain 70% of the remaining superdelegates. With the states remaining being relatively small, the main battleground will be convincing the remaining 278 superdelegates to support Clinton. If they break for Obama, Clinton will have to play her last major card, trying to get Michigan and Florida’s delegates seated to regain some lost ground.

    While last night’s primaries were split, Obama’s near tie in Indiana combined with a major win in North Carolina gave him an air of inevitability. The primaries also showed that Obama can weather major negative attacks without major loss. While the primaries may drag on until June 20th, it is likely that Tuesday night drove home the last nail in the coffin of the Clinton campaign.

    Posted by D. Turner

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

  • California Trying to Can Spanking...

    California Assembly Member Sally Lieber (Left) introduced her anti-spanking bill earlier this year. AB 2943 would have the practical effect of making criminals out of loving parents who spank with an implement (i.e. inanimate object, such as a small paddle or ruler) in California.  The result could be jail time for parents and temporary or permanent loss of their children.

    The Assembly Appropriations Committee is set to have a hearing on this bill tomorrow, April 30.

    In a day and age where youth violence is more rampant than ever and where children are brought up without self discipline or outside discipline, this move to remove a valuable and biblically mandated mode of child training does not bode well for the future of America's children.
    According to HSLDA President Mike Smith,
    "This likely will have several negative unjustifiable consequences in California. Prosecutors could end up filing criminal charges against parents for simply spanking their children with an object even though reasonable, age-appropriate corporal discipline is a protected right of parents in every state.

    Secondly, by the mere fact that jurors in criminal cases would be instructed that they could consider spanking with an implement to be criminal conduct would imply that the legislature believes that this type of conduct is abusive conduct. Finally, if this law passes, it will have a chilling effect on parents who reasonably exercise discipline through the use of spanking with an implement."

    Click here to learn more about this dangerous legislation.

    Posted by C. Dalton

Thursday, April 24, 2008

  • Hillary Clinton won the Pennsylvania Democratic primary on Tuesday by a margin of 55-45%, sparking questions from the media of why it is taking Barack Obama so long to close the deal. He has a front-runner state, a majority of delegates, and is outspending Clinton by at least 2-1. Yet, Obama was only able to knock Clinton’s 20 point lead down to 10 points. Perhaps, Clinton is exaggerating a little when she called last night “the turning of the tide” (after all, there are only 9 states left for her to catch up), but the question remains of why Obama has not been able to close the deal yet. Why are there still undecided super-delegates? Why has Obama failed to win the states that were battleground states in 2000 and 2004 (e.g. Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania)?

     

    First of all, one must understand that while Obama is ahead, he only leads by about 130 delegates, and is still 305 short of the magic 2,025 needed to get the nomination. It would be difficult for Clinton to catch up with Obama and pass him, but events have made the situation look more hopeful for her recently. In past weeks, Obama has come under fire for inflammatory anti-American comments that his pastor made.  At a San Fransisco fundraiser  Obama stirred up controversy when he said

     

    “You go into some of these small towns in Pennsylvania, and like a lot of small towns in the Midwest, the jobs have been gone now for 25 years and nothing's replaced them. And they fell through the Clinton administration, and the Bush administration, and each successive administration has said that somehow these communities are gonna regenerate and they have not. And it's not surprising then they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren't like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations.”

      

    Obama has increasingly come under fire from both Clinton and McCain (the media is not doing him any favors either). Between this and the narrow margins in delegates and the popular vote, it is not surprising that Obama is having a difficult time. In addition, Pennsylvania really did favor Clinton demographically, with its non-upscale white Democrats and independents to whom Obama has always had a hard time appealing. We shall have to see what happens as the race now moves to Indiana and North Carolina.

     

    Posted by D. Turner and C. Dalton

Monday, April 21, 2008

  • Today former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum, a long-time opponent of John McCain’s candidacy, grudgingly endorsed John McCain.

    As recently as January, Santorum said “It’s amazing to hear what John McCain is trying to convince the voters he is all about. The bottom line is, I served 12 years with him, six years in the Senate as one of the leaders of the Senate, trying to put together the conservative agenda, and almost at every turn, on domestic policy, John McCain was not only against us, but leading the charge on the other side.” But’ it looks as if the Republican Party is closing ranks now.

    In his statement, Santorum cited the Reagan axiom that “someone you agree with on 80 percent of the issues is your friend, not your enemy.” Santorum then goes down the list of issues to determine whether McCain is a “friend.”

    Santorum believes that McCain knows our military, knows our enemies, and understands the human and financial cost of defeating them. Pulling no punches, Santorum says “In the end, with the exception of embryonic stem-cell funding, he always voted for life and stood for the culture of life. In short, he's been a reliable vote on life issues, which are critical to conservatives.”

    Regarding the Gang of 14, Santorum says “I was in leadership pushing hard for a showdown with the Democrats on using the "Constitutional Option" to end their filibuster of judicial nominations. The Gang of 14 broke the impasse, and it probably was for the best. I was the one counting votes on that issue, and I was much less certain of success than others. In the end, the Gang deal resulted in numerous confirmations of qualified conservative jurists.” Santorum also adds that he can agree with McCain on appointing judges that will apply the law as written.

    He points out his disagreement with McCain on taxcuts in the past, but gives McCain credit for thinking that the cuts should be made permanent to help the economy. Santorum continues to disagree with McCain on earmarks, believing that some are important for his state, but he appreciates McCain’s principled consistency on the matter.

    Santorum offers as closing arguments the important matter of  who controls bureaucratic appointments and his belief that McCain is will be better for America than Clinton or Obama.

    “As for the Reagan Axiom, given his opponent, McCain is close enough to 80 percent for government work. That is why I am going to vote for my friend - John McCain.”

    Notably absent from Santorum’s analysis of the issues, was his disagreement with McCain on campaign finance reform. Santorum earlier said that the bill was “an affront to personal freedom and liberty in this country, and what we’ve seen as a result of this misguided attempt to placate the New York Times and to help his stature within that community … is that special interests have absolutely taken over the political process, and individual candidates, unless you’re a billionaire, and parties have very little voice in the process.” His analysis of McCain’s views on immigration were also not articulated.

    So, is the Reagan axiom a good concept? Is anyone who agrees with you on 80% of the issues your friend? How much does it matter what the 20% that you disagree on is?

    This is Santorum's take on the matter:

    "Many of my fellow Republicans have faulted me privately and publicly for being so outspoken about McCain, suggesting that I should have kept my mouth shut. First, I’ve never been very good at that. Second, I do not regret being up-front about such an important decision. Third, the primaries are a time when each party wrestles over what it’s looking for in a presidential candidate. Now is the time to come together."

    Posted by D. Turner and C. Dalton

Thursday, April 17, 2008

  • Former President Carter is meeting with representatives from Hamas in Egypt today in hopes of being able to negotiate a peace deal for the middle east.  This action contradicts the Bush administration’s policy of not negotiating with Hamas unless it recognizes the existence of Israel and forsakes terror.  The Bush administration currently does not recognize Hamas as an actual government, but considers it a “terrorist organization”.

    The Whitehouse has been vocal in its criticism of Carter’s trip.  US National Security Council spokesman Gordon Johndroe said, "We do not think that meeting was useful. As we can all see by the recent violence in Gaza, Hamas is a terrorist organization."  White House spokeswoman Dana Perino said,"The president believes that if president Carter wants to go, that he is doing so in his own private capacity, as a private citizen, he is not representing the United States."
    Even though Former President Carter is acting on his own, Hamas officials said Wednesday that Carter's meetings with its leaders will boost the group's legitimacy despite criticism by Israel and the U.S. government of the former president's personal peace mission. 
    This trip has also boiled over into the presidential race.  Obama has drawn flack from both Clinton and McCain for saying he would meet with foreign countries that are hostile to us.  With the critical Pennsylvania primary coming up, Obama has opposed Carter’s trip.  Obama says we must maintain an “unshakable commitment” to help protect Israel from “its bitter enemies.”  "That's why I have a fundamental difference with President Carter and disagree with his decision to meet with Hamas.  We must not negotiate with a terrorist group intent on Israel's destruction. We should only sit down with Hamas if they renounce terrorism, recognize Israel's right to exist and abide by past agreements.  Hamas is not a state. Hamas is a terrorist organization,” said Obama....
    hmmmm...wait, isn't that the Bush administration's policy?
    Don't get your hopes up there. I highly doubt Obama's wishy washy foreign policy stance has changed at all. It's called bending to political pressure, and the reality of it is, no one wants to be caught saying that they are going to negotiate with terrorists...well, no one but former President Carter, I guess.

    Posted by C. Dalton and W. Deutsch

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