Best Markets For Landlords
By Matt Woolsey, Forbes.com
September 5, 2007
Whether they're waiting out the housing storm, or smack in the middle of it, an increasing number of
Americans are choosing to rent, not own. And that's good news for landlords and investors.
Foreclosures and risky lending have dogged the housing market. As lenders have tightened their standards,
attractive mortgages have grown harder to come by. Yet rental fundamentals have remained strong, especially
in the 10 areas that made our list of Best Markets for Landlords.
Tops on our list:
New York City, where in the last 12 months rents have jumped between 7.4% and 7.9% across
the Class A, B and C apartment classifications ("A" being the most luxurious, "C" being the least). In the
Big Apple, 80% of the population rents, and the city's unaffordable housing entices few to make the leap to
home ownership.
In Pictures: Best Markets For Landlords
Rounding out the top five are
Seattle
(where rental-property construction has been low since 2003),
San Francisco, and
Oakland and Orange County, Calif. Credit the giddiness of West Coast landlords to the general
lack of affordable housing in those markets.
Methodology
With the help of Marcus & Millichap, a real estate investment firm, we took into account dynamics that affect
the supply and demand for real estate. Present vacancy rates and planned new construction of apartments and
condos effect supply, while job growth (which encourages people to move to a city) and affordability (which
tilts the rent-vs.-buy dynamic) play with demand.
One curious finding: The best locales for landlords and investors aren't necessarily the worst for renters.
Take
Las Vegas. While vacancies there have jumped over the last year and rental rates have remained low, the
city ranked seventh on our list due to its job growth: 4% year-over-year. Sin City is the second best city in
America for job growth, at nearly three times the national average, according to Mercer Human Resource
Consulting.
The Also-Rans
Foreclosures have a direct effect on the rental market, and the subprime debacle has certainly contributed
its fair share. According to RealtyTrac, in the first six months of 2007, the number of home foreclosures is
up 58% vs. the same time period last year.
The homeless are flocking to landlords' arms. In
Detroit and
Cleveland (not on our list), where foreclosures
have surged, rental markets are tightening at some of the nation's fastest rates. Typically, rental markets
tighten when the population and number of jobs increase--the direct opposite of what's happening in both
cities. In the last year,
Detroit's rental vacancy rate has dropped to 5.4% from 6.9%, and
Cleveland's fell
to 5.7% from 7.3%, according to the National Association of Realtors.
Landlords in
Salt Lake City are grinning too. Though it barely missed our top 10,
Salt Lake City has asserted
itself as the small-market-that-could. In the last year, rents jumped between 6.8% and 6.1% across the three
rental classes and vacancy rates fell to 2.6% from 4.3%. Small fry
Portland, Ore., gave it a good run too:
Rents there increased between 5.9% and 6.6% across the classes and the vacancy rate dropped to 3.2% from
4.1%.
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